It'll be something like Incarnate Word, Texas A&M-Corpus Christi, Texas Lutheran, Howard Payne, and Our Lady of the Lake.
Prove me wrong TJ/DC.
Last season I spoke at length to someone in the know about our scheduling. I've been meaning to relay that here, but I've just been swamped in RL.
It boils down to budget + enough winnable games to ensure +.500 seasons.
For recruiting reasons, the scheduling goal is always a +.500 NC record. It's imperative.
I was told that a winning record is FAR more important for recruiting than who we are playing out of conference.
Across the board - the type of recruits we want will have two things at or near the top of their list:
Relationships with coaches and a winning program.
That's not saying recruits never care who we play, it's just very rare for it to matter enough to make a difference.
Regarding how that translates to scheduling..
If we take on money road games, then we have to schedule guaranteed HOME wins to offset them.
It's impossible for us to get winnable one and done division 1 home opponents in San Marcos because we'd have to pay for them like anyone else. That's where all the non-D1 opponents are coming in. They are MUCH cheaper to buy.
Last year Belt teams were limited to 3 non D1 opponents. This year will be 2 without a waiver.
As for the rest of the schedule....
You want to have at least one tournament (preferably in a sexy location) because the players/recruits love them.
An off-site tourney is going to give you some evenly matched opponents, but it doesn't leave many available dates left for competitive mid-majors who are available to play when we are. Any of whom have their own scheduling puzzle to fill - if they have room in their own +.500 aspirations for us at all.
I heard that we settled on a tournament in a recent season because we were ultimately blocked from another location we preferred. The host team wanted to ensure they were the best team in their own tournament, so they kept us out.
High majors (even the mediocre ones) will laugh at you just for bringing up a H&H or they will try and steal your soul to get them to travel. A 2 or 3 for 1 (if you could even pull it off) means you're having to plan/offset for probable losses those 2 or 3 years playing on the road (for free).
Basically, the only way for us to have a more balanced schedule would require approval from the administration to go revenue neutral. Fewer money games would free up the program to schedule more 50/50 opponents while maintaining a probable +.500 result.