That could be a fun project.
I know Profcat is just 3 off at 12-24, because he was right on the money in '21 & '22.
Math wizards, please correct me if I'm wrong, but we would use standard deviation to help us gauge accuracy, correct? For the sake of example, if someone guessed 1, 2, 12 for a total of 15 wins in 3 years, they would not be considered more accurate than ProfCat even though they guessed the correct total number of wins.
The standard deviation of the actual win totals is 1.73 over 3 years, so the closer the standard deviation of our guesses is to 1.73, the more accurate our predictions would be considered, correct?
This is my SWT education talking, so please correct me if I'm wrong.